Repository Universitas Pakuan

Detail Karya Ilmiah Dosen

Ani Andriyati, Embay Rohaeti

Judul : Forecasting Anorganic Waste Volume After The Implementation Of Plastic Bag Restrictions Using Double Exponential Smoothing Method at Bogor City

Abstrak :
Garbage is a classic problem causing environmental and ecosystem damage in every region, including in Bogor City. Plastic is one of the largest types of inorganic waste that causes ecosystem damage. In one day 1,7 tons of plastic waste are produced from a modern shopping center in Bogor. Several attempts were made to reduce the volume of inorganic waste. Since July 2018 the Regional Government of Bogor City has issued a regulation restricting the use of plastic bags in the modern market as an effort to reduce inorganic waste, especially plastic waste. Forecasting the volume of inorganic waste after the enactment of this regulation is needed as an evaluation step. The double exponential smoothing hole model is suitable for linear data trends. This is in accordance with the condition of inorganic waste volume data which tends to have a linear trend. Forecasting produces parameter parameter values α (level) 0,78 and γ (trend) 0,09 also MAPE 7,25%. The forecast results show that the volume of inorganic waste tends to increase in 2020. In order for this regulation to be optimal, it is necessary to consider applying these regulations not only in the modern market but also in the traditional market. In addition, it is also necessary to find an alternative to substitute for plastic so as not to switch to other inorganic types.

Tahun : 2020 Media Publikasi : Jurnal Nasional Blm Akreditasi

Kategori : Jurnal No/Vol/Tahun : 02 / 03 / 2020

ISSN/ISBN : 2615-3769

PTN/S : Universitas Pakuan Program Studi : MATEMATIKA

Bibliography :
BPS, “Bogor Dalam Angka 2019”, BPS Kota Bogor, 2019.

Alif, “Resmi Diberlakukannya, Tidak Ada Lagi Kantong Plastik di Retail Modern Kota Bogor”, Berita Kota Bogor, 2018. Available:https://kotabogor.go.id/index.php/show_post/detail/11117

Makridakis, S, Wheelwright, Steven C.,McGee, V.E, “Metode dan Aplikasi Peramalan Jilid 1”, Jakarta: Erlangga,1999.

R. Ariyanto, D. Puspitasari, F Ericawati, “Penerapan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Pada Peramalan Produksi Tanaman Pangan”, Jurnal Informatika Polinema, vol. 4, no.1, pp. 58-62, 2017.

M.D.W. Siahaan, N. Kaherani, “Peramalan Tingkat Sampah Plastik Yang Akan Di Daur Ulang Dengan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Dari Brown”, Jurnal Karismatika, vol. 2, no.1, pp. 88-98, 2016.

URL : https://journal.unpak.ac.id/index.php/jsi/article/view/2736

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Detail Karya Ilmiah Dosen

Ani Andriyati, Embay Rohaeti

Judul	:	Forecasting Anorganic Waste Volume After The Implementation Of Plastic Bag Restrictions Using Double Exponential Smoothing Method at Bogor City
Abstrak	:	Garbage is a classic problem causing environmental and ecosystem damage in every region, including in Bogor City. Plastic is one of the largest types of inorganic waste that causes ecosystem damage. In one day 1,7 tons of plastic waste are produced from a modern shopping center in Bogor. Several attempts were made to reduce the volume of inorganic waste. Since July 2018 the Regional Government of Bogor City has issued a regulation restricting the use of plastic bags in the modern market as an effort to reduce inorganic waste, especially plastic waste. Forecasting the volume of inorganic waste after the enactment of this regulation is needed as an evaluation step. The double exponential smoothing hole model is suitable for linear data trends. This is in accordance with the condition of inorganic waste volume data which tends to have a linear trend. Forecasting produces parameter parameter values α (level) 0,78 and γ (trend) 0,09 also MAPE 7,25%. The forecast results show that the volume of inorganic waste tends to increase in 2020. In order for this regulation to be optimal, it is necessary to consider applying these regulations not only in the modern market but also in the traditional market. In addition, it is also necessary to find an alternative to substitute for plastic so as not to switch to other inorganic types.
Tahun	:	2020	Media Publikasi	:	Jurnal Nasional Blm Akreditasi
Kategori	:	Jurnal	No/Vol/Tahun	:	02 / 03 / 2020
ISSN/ISBN	:	2615-3769
PTN/S	:	Universitas Pakuan	Program Studi	:	MATEMATIKA
Bibliography	:	BPS, “Bogor Dalam Angka 2019”, BPS Kota Bogor, 2019. Alif, “Resmi Diberlakukannya, Tidak Ada Lagi Kantong Plastik di Retail Modern Kota Bogor”, Berita Kota Bogor, 2018. Available:https://kotabogor.go.id/index.php/show_post/detail/11117 Makridakis, S, Wheelwright, Steven C.,McGee, V.E, “Metode dan Aplikasi Peramalan Jilid 1”, Jakarta: Erlangga,1999. R. Ariyanto, D. Puspitasari, F Ericawati, “Penerapan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Pada Peramalan Produksi Tanaman Pangan”, Jurnal Informatika Polinema, vol. 4, no.1, pp. 58-62, 2017. M.D.W. Siahaan, N. Kaherani, “Peramalan Tingkat Sampah Plastik Yang Akan Di Daur Ulang Dengan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Dari Brown”, Jurnal Karismatika, vol. 2, no.1, pp. 88-98, 2016.
URL	:	https://journal.unpak.ac.id/index.php/jsi/article/view/2736